Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 6.737016 7.437266 8.213967 9.146102 10.243470 11.505833 13.084885
2025-02-02 5.962804 6.972216 8.195552 9.818575 11.965713 14.787454 18.921782
2025-02-09 5.441304 6.604351 8.099539 10.228004 13.300002 17.792308 25.355367
2025-02-16 4.955205 6.174158 7.808796 10.260836 14.047892 20.095369 31.619308
2025-02-23 4.677009 5.966908 7.764802 10.598293 15.275275 23.455356 41.357147
2025-03-02 4.257641 5.511295 7.301104 10.211970 15.231289 24.576717 47.227726
2025-03-09 3.942068 5.169509 6.960262 9.958074 15.344546 26.004935 54.730501
2025-03-16 3.705509 4.919414 6.727404 9.840206 15.666920 27.947117 65.123539
2025-03-23 3.599980 4.852041 6.765241 10.178009 16.914570 32.373949 87.921577
2025-03-30 3.371636 4.579904 6.450987 9.851841 16.760905 33.394758 99.750463
2025-04-06 3.160072 4.319574 6.134608 9.484521 16.454409 33.932762 110.543408
2025-04-13 2.969551 4.080683 5.835934 9.118107 16.089231 34.211148 120.919211
2025-04-20 2.831469 3.929131 5.692695 9.072253 16.538176 37.370379 157.505033
2025-04-27 2.818941 3.979022 5.899274 9.744897 18.883970 48.203414 310.748609
2025-05-04 2.762274 3.951472 5.966937 10.150060 20.721940 59.224775 643.559313
2025-05-11 2.658052 3.836537 5.865909 10.182534 21.577259 67.242977 1254.089738
2025-05-18 2.602019 3.798308 5.900494 10.516163 23.427246 82.709472 5321.556930
2025-05-25 2.462935 3.608721 5.635762 10.134218 22.970855 84.893487 11806.932379
2025-06-01 2.350587 3.459506 5.437221 9.883156 22.883006 89.624073 76386.639204
2025-06-08 2.262483 3.347832 5.302547 9.766593 23.220660 98.091467 NaN
2025-06-15 2.230152 3.332119 5.352192 10.100638 25.249091 124.391291 NaN
2025-06-22 2.131259 3.192565 5.147307 9.778099 24.784296 127.765078 NaN
2025-06-29 2.034484 3.052813 4.934300 9.414798 24.087739 128.124027 NaN